INTRODUCTION
Since the
advent of the Industrial Revolution, in the eighteenth century, until to the
present day, there has been a massive use of energy generation through the
combustion of nonrenewable sources. The main inputs used in this period were
mineral coal, oil and natural gas. This movement has brought remarkable
advances in humanity's technology, comfort and quality of life. However,
several scientific studies have demonstrated increasing environmental damage
caused by the use of fossil fuels, such as:
a) Soil, air and water IN AC 2017, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil. pollution;
b) Greenhouse effect, characterise by the increase of the average temperature of the terrestrial atmosphere;
c) Respiratory
problems for people around industries and reactors;
Therefore,
there was a need to reformulate investments in clean sources of energy, such as
solar, wind and hydroelectric. Nuclear power can also be included as a
non-polluting and safe matrix, so this is an interesting way of sustainable
energy source. Despite the notable growth in world consumption of electricity,
there is a high concentration of consumption in a few developed countries.
According to data for 2013, about 1.1 billion people lived without electricity.
This energy access deficit is concentrated predominantly in southern and eastern
Asia, as well as sub-Saharan Africa. This is reflected in precarious living
conditions for its inhabitants, in addition to the blatant economic
backwardness of these countries. A comparative analysis between the per capita
consumption of electricity and the percentage participation of the world
population brings impressive data, such as the fact that 50% of the population
consumes less than 60 gigajoules (GJ) per capita. In addition, an American
citizen consumed five times more energy, annually, than a Brazilian citizen,
and eleven times more than an Indian.
Therefore, it is necessary to increase the generation of electric energy, in order to reduce the inequalities of supply and, in this way, to enable the economic and social development of the less favoured nations. In the meantime, clean energy sources such as hydro power, wind, solar and nuclear should be favoured. In the next topics, the advantages and disadvantages of each of these types will be explained, as well as a brief comparison of their performance.
Figure 1:
2. HYDRO ELECTRICITY
Hydroelectric
power is an important type of renewable energy. It comes from the potential
energy of rivers, stored in extensive dams. It provides large amounts of power
with stability and reliability over time, unlike wind and solar. The countries
with the largest installed power plants are: China, with Three Gorges (22.5
GWe) and Xilodu (13.9 GWe); and Brazil, with the Itaipu plant (14 GWe). By
2015, this source accounted for 16% of the world's electricity. It can be seen
the great dependence of this type of energy in the following countries: Norway
(99% of the country's consumption), Canada (58%), Switzerland (55%) and Sweden
(45%). Another advantage of hydro power is that its turbines can be switched off
and reconnected in relatively small times, reaching full power in just ten
minutes. However, some disadvantages must be considered:
a) It needs storage of water in large reservoirs, which normally
causes severe environmental damage to surrounding ecosystems;
b) New projects, as required by environmental agencies, have been
built with less bulky reservoirs, leading to a reduction in installed capacity;
c) In the dry period, the volume of rivers is considerably reduced,
leading to the need for rationing of the energy supplied and, therefore,
damages to industrial and domestic consumption.
3. WIND ENERGY
Wind energy has
undergone a remarkable expansion, accounting for annual increases of about 20%
in the last 5 years. In the new investments, China's relevant leadership has
been noted. In 2016, the world installed capacity in wind energy was 486 GWe,
with tens of thousands of turbines installed. However, actual generation
capacity is compromised by low system utilization (20 to 30%) and intermittent
turbine operation. It is known that, according to Betz's law, any open-flow
fluid, such as air, can recover a maximum of 59% of the kinetic energy
generated. The most efficient wind turbines have reached up to 80% of the limit
of Betz's law. The velocity of the air currents varies according to the time of
day, temperature and humidity of the air, latitude of the place and other
factors. The power generated is proportional to the wind speed cube, so
doubling the speed generates eight times more power. During the operation, the
turbines need speeds between 4 and 25 meters per second, obtaining the ideal
working power between 12 and 25 m / s. In regions where hydroelectric systems
are installed, coexistence of wind turbines is common. They act as a
reinforcement of electricity supply, in addition to complementing the energy
demand in periods of drought. The economically viable power of commercial wind
turbines is about 2 MWe, usually grouped in wind farms of up to 200 MWe. Most
turbines operate about 25% of the load factor over a year, with range
exceptions of up to 40%. INAC 2017, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
4. SOLAR ENERGY
Solar energy
has been widely used to heat water in residences and, increasingly, for
electricity generation through Photovoltaic cells (PV). By 2016, there were 296
GWe of installed capacity, 98% of which was from solar PV. The PV system uses
sunlight, incident on plates composed of photovoltaic cells, to produce
electricity. Such flat plates have been mounted on buildings or special support
structures, and are also used for power supply in signaling and communication
systems. Sales of photovoltaic modules have increased significantly as efficiency
increases and prices are reduced. An important factor to achieve these gains is
the granting of financial subsidies for the development and production of
photovoltaic cells. However, the average cost per unit of electricity is still
very high, about ten times the cost due to conventional sources of energy. This
limits the growth potential of non-subsidised applications such as
supplementary facilities in buildings whose maximum supply matches peak demand.
Another difficulty, still present, is the low capacity factor, that is, the
ratio between the power supplied and the installed capacity. This parameter is
influenced by the level of radiance obtained, which depends on the relative
position of the Sun at each time of the year. In Germany, for example, there
were 1.5 million photovoltaic installations in 2015, with a combined capacity
of 40 GWe. However, the actual delivery of energy was 38.7 TWh, thus consisting
of a capacity factor of 11%. Italy, on the other hand, was sunny in 2015. From
an installed capacity of 18.9 GWe, there was a delivery of 22.9 TWh, equivalent
to a capacity factor of 13.8%.
5. NUCLEAR ENERGY
There are more
than 440 nuclear power reactors in operating conditions worldwide, covering 31
user countries. The total capacity exceeds 390 GWe, with about 60 reactors
under construction. Together, such nuclear units provide about 11.5% of the
world's electricity demand. The main advantages of this type of energy matrix
are:
a) Continuous and reliable load, without oscillations;
b) It does not generate emissions of greenhouse gases, such as carbon
dioxide;
c) The waste generated has negligible volumes and, due to radiation
risks, is confined and monitored in a way that does not generate pollution to
the environment;
d) Nuclear power plants occupy much smaller areas compared to
hydroelectric plants, wind farms and photovoltaic cells .
There are a
number of controversial points that have contributed to the mistrust of public
opinion regarding nuclear energy:
a) High
investments in reactor construction and auxiliary facilities, as well as high
operational safety costs;
b) High
severity of nuclear accidents, if they occur, with the possibility of radiation
emissions to people and the environment;
c) Time-consuming
and expensive licensing process.
Countries such
as France, the United States and the United Kingdom, thanks to effective
partnerships between regulatory agencies, government executive bodies and
private companies, have made great progress in addressing these negative
points. The improvement of technological research in advanced, efficient and
safe reactors, coupled with transparent and rigorous licensing, regulation and
inspection laws, has boosted the nuclear programs of these countries with the
acceptance of the population. One of the most INAC 2017, Belo Horizonte, MG,
Brazil. important methodologies in this movement is the Probabilistic Safety
Assessment (PSA). This tool consists in the careful evaluation of all risks
inherent in the following steps: design; construction; operation; and
decommissioning. This methodology quantifies the probability of undesirable
events and their consequences. In this way, the management of all activities in
nuclear power plants is more comprehensive and reliable, considerably reducing
the occurrence of accidents.
6. COMPARISON OF HISTORICAL EVOLUTION AND PERFORMANCE
Comparing the
capacity of electricity in 2012 and that projected for 2050, there is a
tendency to double the electricity generation. This growth will occur mainly in
countries such as China, India, Sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia due to
economic and population growth. However, there will still be heavy dependence
on the energy generated by the burning of fossil fuels, such as oil, coal and
natural gas. Growth in sustainable sources of energy such as wind, hydro, solar
and nuclear can be seen, but in amounts not yet significant enough to minimise
the sources that generate the greenhouse effect. The medium-term challenge,
therefore, is to leverage investments in renewable sources in order to maximise
such sources and minimise reliance on electricity generation from fossil fuels.
Figure 2:
With respect to
the return of capital invested in the facilities required for the generation of
energy, a comparative analysis can be carried out between the different sources
through the parameter Energy Returned by the Energy Invested (EROEI). This
variable measures how much energy is obtained in a given energy production
process compared to the amount of energy expended in this process (Figure 3).
Some types of energy have a distinct EROEI for situations where energy is not
buffered and in cases where such energy is buffered for later use.
Figure 3:
It is possible
to notice that nuclear energy has a very advantageous EROEI (75), due to its
high stability and multiplicative capacity of this type of energy. In a
relatively small mass of enriched uranium, it is possible to generate a large
amount of thermal energy in the form of steam, which drives the turbines that
generate electricity. And that financial return to the nuclear power matrix has
increased significantly as the process of enriching uranium by gas diffusion is
changed to centrifugal enrichment, which is equivalent to 35 times more
efficiency of energy. For nuclear energy, there is not the formation of energy
buffer, because the uranium decay occurs at a constant rate.
The second
source with the greatest financial return is the hydroelectric power plant,
which has an EROEI of 35, considering the real-time transformation of
hydroelectric energy into electricity, and 49, considering the energy buffering
in the dam, allowing greater stability of electrical power in the face of peak
times and falling demand. Thermal energy generated through coal and combined
cycle gas turbines (CCGT) performs similarly, and there is not the buffering of
energy. Concentrated solar power (CSP) and wind power have a lower performance,
which improves considerably considering the mechanisms of buffering of
generated energy. Solar Photoelectric Energy (Solar PV) presents the lowest
EROEI of the sources studied.
Figure 4 shows
a comparison of levelled costs of energy (LCOE) for each source of electricity.
In the meantime, three discount rates are considered: 3% (corresponding to the
social cost of capital), 7% (corresponding to the market rate in deregulated
markets) and 10% (related to expected returns on investment in high risk
environments). The higher discount rates are applied to more expensive and
higher risk technologies, that is, they need more initial investment. This is
the case of nuclear energy, which involves high expenditure on structure and
security, but on the other hand has low production costs. It should also be
noted that the large cost ranges reflect the large regional differences,
influenced by the structure of the market, internal policies and resources.
Figure 4:
7. CONCLUSIONS
It can be seen
from the data studied in this paper that there is still a long way to go in
order for sustainable energy sources to be able to meet world demand for
electricity. Dependence on fossil fuels is a reality that should last for years
to come, but this can be mitigated through massive investments in technology
improvement and regulation of new projects in the renewable energy sources.
Nuclear energy is very competitive compared to other clean energy sources, in
terms of financial returns, generation of large electric power, absence of
polluting gases and low operating costs. This type of energy demands high
investments in technology and operational safety, as well as in the search of
convincing the population that the benefits of nuclear power plants are
sustainable. In the medium term, the planning to be adopted is to work on a mix
of clean energy sources. In this way, the potential of wind, solar,
hydroelectric and nuclear generation in each region can be harnessed in a
balanced way. Thus, the ultimate goal of reducing the use of fossil fuels will
be achieved without detriment to people's progress and well-being.
1 Comments
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